This year the fair International ® Consumer Electronic Show (CES) stated that the main question of the industry is not whether something is technologically possible , but if technologically significant . Shawn Dubravac, economist head of the Consumer Electronics Association (CEA, the institution that organizes CES) told Infobae: “During the last hundred years much of the focus was on creating something technologically new Now we concentrate more. force user experience and examples of progress enabled by the last fifty years use, and especially the last ten “.
While innovation” is the story of Progress: breaking technological barriers, to create tomorrow today is not possible “as recognized Dubravac, it is very difficult to imagine, in stage one just completed idea whether or not it will work. “ Who would have thought that a smart thermostat going to be a Christmas gift as popular as it has been now?” , gave the example of Daniel Castro, director of the Center for Data Innovation (CDI) and analyst the Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF).
Michael Liebhold, senior researcher at the Institute for the Future (IFTF), challenges the idea that everything is already technically possible . “ There are many technical obstacles still for an elegant implementation of the Internet of Things (Internet of Things, IoT),” he said. “The most important is the exchange of information. Everyone who creates equipment or software tries to control the way in which information is shared, and whether the information was significantly shared between devices or software, the IoT will not be particularly useful . Let us not be overzealous, not all technical issues have been resolved “.
“There are many technical obstacles still for an elegant implementation of the Internet of Things”
From the desirable to the possible
A colleague of Castro, Doug Brake, telecommunications policy analyst at the ITIF, told this newspaper one of those obstacles, other important. “The IoT pushes many changes in communications technology, and requires real changes in the networks at different levels ”
For example
The IoT will incorporate million new devices, many of which have specialized requirements. Brake explained: “Many of these devices need to transmit small amounts of data with very little battery consumption are devices of a new type, with new technical requirements, which require the creation of protocols and parameters. new to the very bottom of the physical layer [model of OSI, OSI for its acronym in English]. “
The OSI is the international standard protocol architectures Interconnection communications systems. Has seven layers, basic of which is the Physical Layer (PHY for its acronym in English), the foundation on which the Data Link Layer are mounted, Network Layer, Transport Layer, Session Layer The Presentation Layer and Application Layer (which is what we know users). The IoT, argued Brake, r equires changes all that way, to the foundation itself.
“We are doing a lot of work in this field,” he said. “There are numerous protocols either already marketed or under development for connect the devices that are distributed in a house , a scope of work or factory.”
Another focus added telecommunications expert ITIF is encoding and bandwidth used for data transmission in a network, which is known as signaling . “So many new devices connected to a network require a dramatic expansion of the signal from the router level within a home to the heart of a large network. This is not a trivial challenge.”
Of the possible to the functional
Dubravac argues that when many of the technologies are still in the initial stage, when developers have many ideas but not know what is going to have acceptance, A key challenge is to find “the right model of technology, design and business” and other “give the consumer need.” In his experience, “people pay for things like convenciencia, safety and quality. The products that offer these items at good prices will succeed” , predicted.
Castro speculated about what might work in the near future: “Consumers spend a lot of things to carry, like watches, sunglasses and jewelry would make sense that these products have a technological upgrade at some point [they became . wearables . computers clothing], but still are also companies that provide with great application for those devices “
To Liebhold “It is somewhat idiosyncratic.” In his view will be progress in automobiles, “they already have a huge built-in intelligence: years since a car is a very complex network of smart appliances”. highlighted the combination of wearables : “I believe have promising possibilities, such as cars, because they have shown convenient health, exercise, entertainment and fashion”
Also, create, will progress in the built-in intelligence households and areas of work. He gave as an example a global concern: energy consumption.
“The architecture and construction engineering intelligent devices used for regulate the temperature in buildings , which saves huge amounts of energy and reduces the emission of greenhouse gases and carbon in the environment, simply by eliminating the acclimatization of vacant places. And that is done automatically. It’s a trivial example but it gives an idea of the inevitability of using technology for social and environmental benefit, “researcher proposed IFTF
The experimentation said Dubravac, leads the way for this development. ” Now that the technology is available, it comes down to experimentation <. / b> We will see innovations in each category, but obviously some products reach the mass market before other’s wearables have been integrated fully into the mass market. 3D printers, drones and smart houses are emerging categories. And we also see giant steps toward autonomous vehicles. “
From the functional to the significance
The user seems oriented in one direction: if a new technology, amazing or original it makes sense to everyday life. Liebhold, who before studying the future spent ten years in the Laboratory of Advanced Technology Apple, is certain: “ The issue of what is significant is fundamental”
Developed. ” The ease of use or significant use is almost the overall structure of thinking of each person who works at Apple, because focus on the design for use is made. In the IFTF the center of our work is understand human use Technology, to which we must first understand what aspects of our lives can effectively implement this intelligence supercomputer in our appliances and cloud Principle 1 is increasing human capacity.; Principle 2, expand human capabilities in ways they could not complete without the intelligence of computers. “
Al Distinguished Professor of Law Professor Laurie Silvers & amp; Mitchell Rubenstein of the University of Miami, Michael Froomkin not convinced by the concept of what is significant as a battering ram for the mass market. “In my house I have a refrigerator, a dishwasher, a washer and dryer, among other appliances. It is supposed to last for quite some time, so do not replace very often. The fact that today is an intelligent refrigerator the market not mean it’s going to buy one :. my refrigerator works perfectly well and I think most people will not replace a good that is useful only to have one smart, “said <. / p>
Moreover, questioned the desire for intelligent devices . “For example, smart TVs are quite chilling. Some follow the movements of the eyes to see if one is looking. Some people want this, other prefer to avoid. I’d be surprised rapid development was given except in some specific areas, such as telephones, no doubt. But the overall market will be some opposition too. “
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